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Table 3 Prediction threshold, sensitivity, specificity and areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves for METS-IR predicting future diabetes risk for women and men

From: Assessing the validity of METS-IR for predicting the future onset of diabetes: an analysis using time-dependent receiver operating characteristics

 

Women

 

Men

 

Prediction threshold

Sensitivity

Specificity

AUC

 

Prediction threshold

Sensitivity

Specificity

AUC

METS-IR

         

2-years

28.58

0.71

0.63

0.68

 

36.94

0.52

0.72

0.62

3-years

29.31

0.64

0.68

0.70

 

36.94

0.60

0.72

0.67

4-years

27.90

0.75

0.58

0.72

 

36.74

0.54

0.71

0.64

5-years

27.90

0.76

0.58

0.73

 

37.02

0.55

0.73

0.67

6-years

29.20

0.71

0.68

0.76

 

37.39

0.52

0.74

0.68

7-years

29.31

0.72

0.69

0.76

 

36.74

0.61

0.72

0.70

8-years

29.22

0.73

0.68

0.77

 

36.74

0.60

0.72

0.70

9-years

27.50

0.86

0.55

0.76

 

36.83

0.58

0.72

0.70

10-years

29.00

0.73

0.67

0.75

 

36.49

0.61

0.71

0.71

11-years

29.33

0.72

0.69

0.76

 

34.81

0.67

0.63

0.70

12-years

29.33

0.71

0.70

0.76

 

37.42

0.50

0.76

0.67

TyG index

         

2-years

7.90

0.77

0.64

0.64

 

8.77

0.47

0.79

0.62

3-years

7.92

0.84

0.62

0.71

 

8.51

0.60

0.66

0.64

4-years

7.98

0.76

0.69

0.72

 

8.51

0.60

0.66

0.64

5-years

7.92

0.81

0.64

0.73

 

8.49

0.61

0.65

0.65

6-years

7.98

0.73

0.69

0.73

 

8.26

0.75

0.50

0.65

7-years

7.99

0.74

0.69

0.73

 

8.49

0.63

0.65

0.67

8-years

7.98

0.73

0.69

0.73

 

8.49

0.63

0.65

0.67

9-years

7.99

0.75

0.70

0.74

 

8.50

0.60

0.66

0.66

10-years

8.01

0.72

0.71

0.73

 

8.25

0.75

0.50

0.65

11-years

8.00

0.74

0.71

0.74

 

8.25

0.73

0.50

0.65

12-years

8.01

0.76

0.71

0.76

 

8.50

0.56

0.67

0.64

  1. Abbreviations: AUC: area under the curve; TyG: Triglyceride-Glucose; other abbreviations as in Table ​1