BMC Endocrine Disorders

Table 4 Prediction threshold, sensitivity, specificity and areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves for METS-IR predicting future diabetes risk for age ≥ 45 and < 45 years

From: Assessing the validity of METS-IR for predicting the future onset of diabetes: an analysis using time-dependent receiver operating characteristics

	Age, years
	≥ 45					< 45
	Prediction threshold	Sensitivity	Specificity	AUC		Prediction threshold	Sensitivity	Specificity	AUC
2-years	35.73	0.48	0.75	0.66		38.06	0.37	0.86	0.64
3-years	35.95	0.48	0.76	0.67		37.29	0.63	0.84	0.76
4-years	35.70	0.45	0.75	0.65		36.15	0.63	0.81	0.76
5-years	33.91	0.59	0.67	0.69		36.15	0.62	0.81	0.78
6-years	33.78	0.63	0.67	0.70		31.67	0.81	0.62	0.79
7-years	33.91	0.65	0.68	0.71		35.57	0.69	0.79	0.81
8-years	33.46	0.69	0.66	0.73		31.46	0.85	0.62	0.79
9-years	34.45	0.60	0.71	0.71		31.67	0.81	0.63	0.78
10-years	32.98	0.68	0.63	0.71		31.66	0.84	0.63	0.79
11-years	32.98	0.65	0.63	0.69		31.67	0.84	0.63	0.79
12-years	33.36	0.57	0.65	0.66		31.75	0.84	0.64	0.79
TyG index
2-years	8.47	0.54	0.70	0.63		8.67	0.45	0.86	0.63
3-years	8.47	0.52	0.70	0.64		8.30	0.69	0.73	0.75
4-years	8.49	0.50	0.72	0.63		8.20	0.74	0.68	0.73
5-years	8.45	0.57	0.69	0.66		8.17	0.72	0.66	0.72
6-years	8.23	0.71	0.56	0.66		8.27	0.71	071	0.73
7-years	8.23	0.70	0.56	0.67		8.22	0.75	0.69	0.76
8-years	8.23	0.73	0.56	0.69		8.24	0.6*	0.70	0.73
9-years	8.18	0.74	0.53	0.67		8.27	0.69	0.72	0.74
10-years	8.18	0.76	0.53	0.68		8.23	0.69	0.70	0.73
11-years	8.20	0.71	0.54	0.67		8.20	0.71	0.69	0.73
12-years	8.20	0.70	0.55	0.65		8.21	0.71	0.69	0.74

Abbreviations: AUC: area under the curve; TyG: Triglyceride-Glucose; other abbreviations as in Table 1

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